Montana elk permits — real draw odds
Every elk-permit hunting district in Montana, with the actual nonresident draw odds from FWP's official report. Montana squares bonus points — so odds, not a point threshold, are what tells you your real shot.
nrOddsPct = nonresident first-choice success rate for that district permit. Montana squares bonus points, so the published odds (apps vs successful), not a point threshold, are the real signal.
View MT FWP drawing statistics ↗How Montana works
Bonus points (squared)
Montana is a squared bonus-point draw: your points are squared into extra 'raffle tickets,' so odds climb fast as points stack — but nothing is guaranteed, and a 0-point hunter still draws on luck.
Earn one bonus point per species each year you're unsuccessful in a drawing. At draw time points are SQUARED and 1 is added — 10 points = (10×10)+1 = 101 tickets.
fwp.mt.gov · verified 2026 ↗Points are squared, not linear — each added point compounds your odds rather than adding a fixed step.
fwp.mt.gov · verified 2026 ↗Nonresidents are limited to (but not guaranteed) 10% of the overall quota for an opportunity.
fwp.mt.gov · verified 2026 ↗Separate from bonus points, nonresidents use a distinct PREFERENCE-point system to improve odds on the combination licenses.
fwp.mt.gov · verified 2026 ↗What you can hunt in Montana
Green = no draw needed (the fast way in).OIL = once-in-a-lifetime.
Nonresidents go through the combination-license draw.
Via the nonresident combination/B-license draw.
Strong populations; through the draw for nonresidents.
Limited draw.
License with spring & fall seasons; no draw.
License with quota districts; no draw.
Once-in-a-lifetime draw.
Once-in-a-lifetime draw.
Once-in-a-lifetime draw.
Once-in-a-lifetime draw.
License with a long season; multiple wolves allowed.
General and limited seasons.
By nonresident draw odds
Best odds first
| District | Type | NR successful | NR applicants | NR draw odds | Public land |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 101-50 | Limited permit | 14 | 14 | 100% | 79.2% |
| 270-45 | (First Choice Only) | 528 | 528 | 100% | 84.6% |
| 411-21 | (First and Only) ARCHERY ONLY | 182 | 182 | 100% | 21.2% |
| 447-21 | (First and Only) ARCHERY ONLY | 71 | 71 | 100% | 21.3% |
| 595-21 | (First and Only) ARCHERY ONLY | 274 | 274 | 100% | — |
| 620-21 | ARCHERY ONLY | 98 | 190 | 52% | 43.5% |
| 217-11 | Limited permit | 1 | 2 | 50% | 29.3% |
| 262-45 | Limited permit | 2 | 4 | 50% | 3.5% |
| 455-21 | ARCHERY ONLY | 10 | 21 | 48% | 99.3% |
| 410-21 | ARCHERY ONLY | 98 | 341 | 29% | 48.8% |
| 217-10 | Limited permit | 11 | 40 | 28% | 29.3% |
| 700-21 | ARCHERY ONLY | 77 | 286 | 27% | 49.7% |
| 630-21 | ARCHERY ONLY | 10 | 39 | 26% | 67.8% |
| 702-20 | Limited permit | 12 | 46 | 26% | 12.7% |
| 417-21 | (First and Only) ARCHERY ONLY | 28 | 121 | 23% | 37.6% |
| 412-20 | Limited permit | 10 | 51 | 20% | 15.7% |
| 590-20 | Limited permit | 23 | 120 | 19% | 10.1% |
| 420-20 | Limited permit | 7 | 41 | 17% | 53.1% |
| 417-20 | (First and Only) | 19 | 140 | 14% | 37.6% |
| 799-21 | (First and Only) ARCHERY ONLY | 79 | 562 | 14% | — |
| 250-46 | Limited permit | 3 | 27 | 11% | 97.3% |
| 411-20 | First and Only | 24 | 220 | 11% | 21.2% |
| 455-20 | Limited permit | 5 | 44 | 11% | 99.3% |
| 426-20 | (First and Only) | 5 | 51 | 10% | 20.8% |
| 441-20 | Limited permit | 1 | 12 | 8% | 40.5% |
| 555-20 | Limited permit | 2 | 25 | 8% | 68.5% |
| 620-20 | Limited permit | 4 | 51 | 8% | 43.5% |
| 700-20 | Limited permit | 20 | 279 | 7% | 49.7% |
| 313-45 | Limited permit | 5 | 80 | 6% | 85.8% |
| 447-20 | Limited permit | 4 | 72 | 6% | 21.3% |
| 799-20 | (First and Only) | 27 | 523 | 5% | — |
| 401-20 | Limited permit | 1 | 26 | 4% | 9.5% |
| 445-20 | Limited permit | 1 | 28 | 4% | 12.3% |
| 250-45 | Limited permit | 2 | 69 | 3% | 97.3% |
| 339-20 | Limited permit | 1 | 38 | 3% | 28.8% |
| 690-20 | Limited permit | 5 | 178 | 3% | 19.6% |
| 690-21 | Limited permit | 3 | 119 | 3% | 19.6% |
| 410-20 | Limited permit | 2 | 233 | 1% | 48.8% |
| 621-20 | Limited permit | 1 | 77 | 1% | 77.9% |
| 622-20 | Limited permit | 1 | 86 | 1% | 74.3% |
| 380-20 | Limited permit | 1 | 615 | 0% | 45.7% |
| 630-20 | Limited permit | 0 | 31 | 0% | 67.8% |
Leftover / surplus
Surplus permits — sign-up window
Montana doesn't publish a live leftover count — surplus deer & elk permits are sold by a sign-up period, not a first-come list. For 2026 the surplus-list sign-up runs June 15 – July 15, 2026. We'll surface real counts here if and when FWP posts them.
MT FWP surplus licenses →Draw odds here are real (MT FWP 2026 elk permits). Montana's reports are gated behind a species picker — HuntVibe's ingest engine drives the tool to fetch them. Public-land % is real too: each FWP hunting-district boundary intersected with USGS PAD-US federal public land in an equal-area projection. Harvest success and maps elsewhere remain illustrative.